the biggest day of the meet came and went, and while the race will not be memorable from the strong field that went postward, it will certainly be remembered as the possible coming out party for the next handicap superstar, candy ride. that was impressive and i'm not easily impressed. alas, the racing continues on monday with a fairly uninspiring card. nevertheless, a few plays:
r2: nellie l. can we get anything near 5/2 on this daughter of irgun, who goes from one outstanding barn to another. armando lage of nocal fame can flat out train and now this one goes to the cagey ron ellis shedrow. he's stepping up in class here but none of these others are going to put the fear of god in anyone. i suppose six time loser alice's silver lady will be chalk, but you can have that type of horse any day without my money. nellie l is drawn well, has some speed and has been training forwardly. only question is whether or not the price will be right.
r4: Winendynme or Frenchglen. i don't have the overnights with the morning line, but i imagine winendyneme will be the shorter price and deservedly so. this daughter of dynaformer was sent off as the chalk for sahadi in july and ran a few steps before throwing in the towel in an educational run. i like sahadi much better second out and she switches this daughter of top-class grass sire dynaformer and grass producer caerleon on the bottom from dirt to turf. the works have been good and while they don't let maidens train on the turf here in so cal, that's alright, i'll bet she can move up a ton on the weeds. the other interesting filly is firstglen. i think forestry is going to be a top class stallion for many years to come (one day i will start a real thread on breeding and who i think the next generation of super star stallions will be, but i digress), and with affirmed blood on the bottom, she should take to the turf no problem. barrera not known with his work with youngsters, but i would give this one a good look if she gets any action on the board. if she's dead on the board, you can probably expect a similar performance. let the tote be your guide.
r7: gulchie. i backed something rushing last time these two met in july and initially i thought something rushing had a tougher trip; however, the more i looked at the tape, the more i realized gulchie simply outran him to the wire. now, gulchie could easily regress here and he's certainly no win machine at 2 for 17, but i think this horse is on the upswing for ms. mulhall. really, i can't find anyone else to back; the aforementioned something rushing doesn't enthuse, platinum duke looks very common, nzairali hasn't looked the same in his return races (he could run well first time for a tag, but at 9/5 who needs that aggravation?), golden rahy could win, but he's going to have to "outclose" gulchie, leperchaum kid probably is the horse that scares me most b/c pval is going to put him in the race early (there's NO pace in here), runway dancer is cheap cheap cheap and tronare is, well, too slow and he loses solis and picks omar figueroa (huh? is omar on vacation in so cal this week and picked up a random mount?).
r8: tantallon. best bet of the day. probably will be favored, but no matter, unless one of the debutantes is a real runner, tantallon towers over this field; quite literally, she's a huge filly and while 5.5f may still be a little short for her, she seems like she's just starting to figure things out. of the firsters, spirited is the one who scares me most as she has the typical o'neill training pattern with slow steady works topped off by a good gate drill over the track. nevertheless, tantallon looks like the one in here and anything north of 2/1 is a steal.
bon chance.
r2: nellie l. can we get anything near 5/2 on this daughter of irgun, who goes from one outstanding barn to another. armando lage of nocal fame can flat out train and now this one goes to the cagey ron ellis shedrow. he's stepping up in class here but none of these others are going to put the fear of god in anyone. i suppose six time loser alice's silver lady will be chalk, but you can have that type of horse any day without my money. nellie l is drawn well, has some speed and has been training forwardly. only question is whether or not the price will be right.
r4: Winendynme or Frenchglen. i don't have the overnights with the morning line, but i imagine winendyneme will be the shorter price and deservedly so. this daughter of dynaformer was sent off as the chalk for sahadi in july and ran a few steps before throwing in the towel in an educational run. i like sahadi much better second out and she switches this daughter of top-class grass sire dynaformer and grass producer caerleon on the bottom from dirt to turf. the works have been good and while they don't let maidens train on the turf here in so cal, that's alright, i'll bet she can move up a ton on the weeds. the other interesting filly is firstglen. i think forestry is going to be a top class stallion for many years to come (one day i will start a real thread on breeding and who i think the next generation of super star stallions will be, but i digress), and with affirmed blood on the bottom, she should take to the turf no problem. barrera not known with his work with youngsters, but i would give this one a good look if she gets any action on the board. if she's dead on the board, you can probably expect a similar performance. let the tote be your guide.
r7: gulchie. i backed something rushing last time these two met in july and initially i thought something rushing had a tougher trip; however, the more i looked at the tape, the more i realized gulchie simply outran him to the wire. now, gulchie could easily regress here and he's certainly no win machine at 2 for 17, but i think this horse is on the upswing for ms. mulhall. really, i can't find anyone else to back; the aforementioned something rushing doesn't enthuse, platinum duke looks very common, nzairali hasn't looked the same in his return races (he could run well first time for a tag, but at 9/5 who needs that aggravation?), golden rahy could win, but he's going to have to "outclose" gulchie, leperchaum kid probably is the horse that scares me most b/c pval is going to put him in the race early (there's NO pace in here), runway dancer is cheap cheap cheap and tronare is, well, too slow and he loses solis and picks omar figueroa (huh? is omar on vacation in so cal this week and picked up a random mount?).
r8: tantallon. best bet of the day. probably will be favored, but no matter, unless one of the debutantes is a real runner, tantallon towers over this field; quite literally, she's a huge filly and while 5.5f may still be a little short for her, she seems like she's just starting to figure things out. of the firsters, spirited is the one who scares me most as she has the typical o'neill training pattern with slow steady works topped off by a good gate drill over the track. nevertheless, tantallon looks like the one in here and anything north of 2/1 is a steal.
bon chance.
